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As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020. You have to beware with these reports, though. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. How red or blue is your state? Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. And West Virginia is losing. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . He held his own in . But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. You have entered an incorrect email address! *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. That solved the problem. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. Sorry Marc. The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. Error! A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. Special elections, if any, are excluded. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023), List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF, Presidents Of The United States Of America In Chronological Order, Who Is The Secretary Of Defense In The United States, List Of US Senators State Wise (2023 Updated), List Of Airports In The US (United States) With IATA & ICAO, Secretary General Of The United Nations (2023 Updated), 250+ Measuring Devices And Instruments (2023 Updated), List Of All Social Networking Sites And Their Founders (2023), List Of All Commercial Airports In India (2023 Updated), List Of Prime Minister Of Italy (2023 Updated). The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. Not one! Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. elections. Same caution about borders applies. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. (PA, GA, MI)". President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. We may not know results in PA fordays. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! Thats a point that they made. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. It is not a red state. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. VOA explains. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. Map of election results. List Of Blue States And Red States No. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. Not one! However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. The Red-Blue terminology was popularized in 2000. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". Like around the country, we're seeing. Blue States No. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. #V. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Election results provided by the Associated Press. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. Sen. Cory Gardner is now the only. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. Success! The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. Since a 25-25 tie following the 1992 elections, Republicans have held the Senate in every subsequent election, their power peaking after 2016 with a 34-16 supermajority. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. It is not a blue state or a red state. PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. Before Trump's 2016 win, the state voted. . 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. But. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. Electoral votes invalidated. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. The. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. The key swing region is the. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. Is Missouri a red state? As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. Here's the count: 2020: *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. But I've got news for them, too. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. Continue with Recommended Cookies. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). Red states vs. blue states. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state.