Even though our winter is forecast to be on the mild side, it won't be without a few cold spells. The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. As if unprecedented flash flooding during this years monsoon season wasnt enough to deal with, it looks like Arizona might get a little reprieve from extreme weather in the winter. Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. Additionally this is the fifteenth April in the past seventeen that the airport recorded below normal rainfall. Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. See more current weather Annual Weather Averages in Sedona Airport Sedona Airport is 29 miles from Arizona, so the actual climate in Arizona can vary a bit. While anything is possible, it appears a season full of mellow days and drier air is ahead, so get your sweaters. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. 27, 2022 The posted Quail Forever forecast of a bird hatch in NM and AZ is pretty bleak with drought conditions continuing throughout the Southwest. The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. The average temperature in Arizona in January is. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? Or rather when will it finally feel like fall? It ended being the coolest Fall since 2006. Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? The last day of 2022 was dry with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60's to lower 70's. The Spring seasonal forecast for the area, issued February 17th, called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures & a 42% chance of below normal precipitation. Scattered light showers and high elevation mountain snow occurred on the evening of the 23rd and the morning of the 24th were associated with a passing cold front. How to get these alerts with a premium subscription via e-mail by micro-climate zone AND/OR Get the GPS models for all events on your device enabled? Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch (0.33") with isolated spots recording up to 1.00". NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 111 on June 16th to a low of 66 on June 5th. Apr. The monthly average temperature of 71.8 is just under four degrees above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest April on record. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. The previous two occurrences were in 1984 & 2010. There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. This ties the monthly record previously set in 2017. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. Will the huge Tongan volcano eruption last January have a role? Enter any city, zip or place. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 5.61" is just under 3" below normal and ranks as the 13th driest January to September on record. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. That means that La Nina is NOT controlling the current weather pattern for the season thus far. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. If you are NOT receiving the e-mails and are a full member, your account is either expired or you need to troubleshoot. A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. You can expect sleet, snow, and rain throughout the season. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. The impacts from the cold plunge resulted in a multi-billion disaster, with Texas especially hard-hit. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 103 on the 6th to a low of 65 on the 17th. Love Arizona? On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. My model is showing drier than normal conditions for most of California, majorly drier than normal for Southern California than Northern. Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. 2023 www.azcentral.com. Alaska through Central and Northern Canada to Greenland. PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) Look for one last, mostly sunny day before an unsettled weather pattern arrives for the next few days in Arizona.Light winds and high clouds can be expected this morning . And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph . The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. That is 100% free to view. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 83 on the 14th to a low of 26 on the 3rd. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. US Dept of Commerce Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). Temperature extremes ranged from 111 on June 16th to 65 on September 17th. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. Odds are tilted toward a colder than average winter from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to northern New England. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. ajgarrison - Flickr The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert. Last winter, Boston finished the season with. When Does It End? Please Contact Us. The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. Copyright TWC Product and Technology LLC 2014, 2023. Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. The average yearly temperature, through the end of October, of 74.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. March climate data across southeast Arizona, Spring climate data across southeast Arizona. The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 79 on the 27th to a low of 30 on the 15th & 17th. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. Here was the tweet the office issued. #azwx #cawx https://t.co/G7FkHhFGSt. Today, Katie writes for the Texas and Arizona pages of OnlyInYourState.com and has never been more passionate about a job before. According to The Farmer's Almanac, Arizona's 2021-2022 winter season will bring along a "polar coaster" with temperature swings lasting well into March of 2022. . Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. Then it smashed that record. Example video title will go here for this video, Getting Reel | Ranking Marvel Phase 4 Movies. This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. January 2, 2022 at 7:59 am January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder by Weather Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. What is the average temperature in Arizona in January? SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. June climate data across southeast Arizona, Summer climate data across southeast Arizona. You can enjoy epic winter activities like Arizona Snow Bowl, and you can even go sledding iFarmers' Almanac winter forecastn Arizona (or snow tubing in Arizona) too. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in portions of California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, southern Plains, Gulf Coast and much of . The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is seven-tenths of a degree above normal and ranks as the 17th warmest January on record. This is the highest wind gust, tied with August 11, 1995, to be recorded at the airport in the past 50 years. This is the first time since March 1973 that every daily high temperature of a month was cooler than what occurred one year earlier. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. Click on the images below for the year, monthly and seasonal snapshots! The number could've been higher as there were eight days that recorded a high of 99. According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. Additionally, there were five record temperatures that were either set or tied. Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. It begins just at the backend. The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. April climate data across southeast Arizona. Mostly cloudy. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December About the author Related Posts Farmers' Almanac Staff National Weather Service With stories from American West, Western Washington State, King County (Wash.), Seattle, Pacific Northwest, Eastern Washington State, Sports, Washington State University, College Sports. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 95 on the 26th to a low of 33 on the 8th. Winter temperatures are once again expected to be split between a warmer than average South and colder than average North, with colder risks in parts of the East. I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. No rain was recorded across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a. By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 Multiple locations were found. Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. In the U.S., La Nia typically means a colder than average winter in northern and western parts of the country, and a warmer South and East. As usual, the polar vortex is another important wild card in the outlook. The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. The average yearly temperature of 60.6 is a half of a degree ABOVE normal and ranks as the 12th warmest on record, tied with 1996, through the end of April. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area with totals ranging from 0.20" to 1.75" with localized higher amounts to 2.50". No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. Since it was a colder one than earlier in the month, snow levels at times reached down to the valley floor with some light snow occurring on the east side of the metro area. This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. We say absolutely! Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 104 on the 6th and 30th to a low of 70 on the 23rd. Hourly forecast for 08.02.2022. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019. Tell us your thoughts in the comments section below, then check out how beautiful the Grand Canyon in winter is. The Farmers' Almanac predicts winter will be wild in much of the United States, but pretty average in Utah. Over the next 10 days high temperatures gradually warmed through the 60's into the 70's peaking on the 27th with a monthly high temperature of 79. We know that finding the ideal hotel in Arizona can be a hard task Thats why we run our special tools and found the best hotels in Arizona. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high 94 on the 3rd to a low of 43 on the 25th. The deep monsoonal moisture that was over the area for most of the month started to dry out during the last week of the month under a drier upper air pattern. La Nia conditions can have varying effects on weather patterns around the world. Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 5:21 PM PDT (Gray News) - The Farmers' Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for most of us here in the U.S., along with brisk temperatures. The Climate Prediction Center forecast for Fall 2022 called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures and a 22% chance of below normal temperatures. AccuWeather's winter forecast. Thank you! Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. The story is much different in the Catalina and Rincon mountains where between 4" and 10" of precipitation has been recorded so far this water year. Rainfall amounts across the metro during the first three months of the hydrologic water year has ranged from 1.10" to 3.50". The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. The forecast panned out well with Winter 2021-2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. The forecast for precipitation is a 49% chance that they will be up below normal and a 18% chance that they will end up above normal. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. Click on the images below for larger view. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. The periodical says it. The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. Toggle navigation. This has also occurred in August 1963 & February 1905. Reuben Salazar clears snow from his home in Flagstaff on Feb. 23, 2022. A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. AccuWeather long-range forecasters are predicting that 40 to 50 inches will accumulate in the city, around the average snowfall amount of 49.2 inches. Katie Lawrence is a Southeast Texas native who graduated 18th in her high school class with a GPA of 4.25. But there is a new ocean anomaly emerging that will also play its part.